SFB Bancorp - Too cheap to ignore, especially for activists

"Value is its own catalyst" is a common saying amongst value investors.  When a stock is marginally cheap investors need to pound the table, concoct 80 page power point presentations and create elegant narratives to sell the story.  When a stock has landed in value territory it's valuation is the story.  Such is the case with SFB Bancorp (SFBK) a bank in Tennessee that languished on the edge of the pink sheets until the discrepancy between the market price and book value became too great.  A fund discovered the stock and started to build a position.  The rest as they say is history.

I've talked about the idea with Colin, the Managing Director for Trondheim Capital numerous times. SFB Bancorp was an idea that appeared in the second issue of the Oddball Stocks Newsletter.  The full writeup sample is below.

I had the chance to interview Trondheim Capital and Meixler Investment Management about the bank, why this is a good investment, and what they wish to achieve.  Before getting into the interview I want to outline the investment case for SFB Bancorp in sentence or two.

Investment Snapshot


SFB Bancorp is a holding company for Security Federal Bank in Elizabethton, TN.  The bank has $60m in assets with a 41% Tier 1 ratio.  They have $37m in loans and $19m in cash and securities.  Equity is approximately $14.593m against a market cap of $12m. They trade for 82% of book value.  The bank is profitable and has been for years.  They never incurred a loss during the financial crisis and asset quality is pristine.

The bank's President embodies the community banker saying of "I know my bad loans by name."  I spoke with Carmella Price and asked about a non-performing loan and was given a list of the seizable assets such as a high end power boat that were negotiated as collateral for the loan.  Price certainly knew the bad loan by name, and was on top of the resolution.

The bank has a mediocre 5% return on equity, mainly due to their significant over capitalization.  If the bank were to use their capital to buyback shares, or extend credit it's feasible that they could earn over 10% on their equity without much effort.

Lastly, this isn't a cheap bank sitting on the sidelines waiting for someone to notice them.  As you'll see in the interview below a number of funds are already involved and working to close the valuation gap.

Interview


How did the bank come into being? 
It was founded in 1963 as a mutual. The founder's son (Bill Hampton) told me that his father (Peter Hampton) started it partially to generate more work for his law practice. I assume that means the title and escrow work. They demutualized and went public in May 1997. In 2003 they terminated the securities registration and moved to the pink sheets.

How can a bank so small survive?
Non-interest expenses were only $1.79 million in 2014. Of that, $1.064 million was compensation. They brought in $2.65 million in net interest income and non-interest income, so that leaves a respectable profit. East Tennessee is obviously a cheap part of the country from a compensation perspective.

When most investors look at SFBK their first thought is most likely "so many securities and not enough lending.." do you feel increased lending is what they need?
No. They say their market is too competitive and I believe them. Credit union competition always comes up. They have a culture of conservative lending which is one of the great things about them. They made money throughout the recent depression and bought back ten percent of outstanding shares in 2009.

Why are they so conservative?
That seems to be a part of the culture, inherited from the founder. I think it's admirable that they've let the loan book decline. It peaked in 2006! Hired help will grow for the sake of growth; an ownership mindset seems to result in conservatism at least with regard to credit risk. Now, interest rate risk and the idea of buying back stock instead of building a low-yielding bond portfolio is the area where we differ with management.

What's the ownership structure like?
The founder's son and family own about 25%. There's an ESOP that owns about 11%. The President of the bank subsidiary, Carmella Price, owns about 4%. Together that's 39% for what I call the insiders. Bill and Carmella are on the board with three directors who own less than 1% combined. Then there is Trondheim Capital, Meixler Investment Management, and a private investor named Jack Rubens. The three of us "outsiders" wrote a letter to management in July about capital allocation, and we informed them that our combined holdings were about a quarter of the company.

What's the opportunity for investors?
First, the bank is trading below book value even though it's profitable and overcapitalized. We estimate that the discount is close to 20%, but book value may understate both the liquidation and intrinsic values. Given the discount and overcapitalization, they should be buying back stock. At 12/31/14 equity was 23% of assets and Tier 1 was 41%.

Is there something better the bank can do with their excess cash?
Buy back stock below liquidation value, below tangible book value, below value as an acquisition target. Any of those ways that you look at it, repurchases below these intrinsic value would be a good use of surplus capital.

Are they a potential acquisition target? If so why? If not why not?
I think what we are seeing recently is that every bank is an acquisition target to an equal or larger size bank that wants to get economies of scale. I spoke with the founder of another bank in eastern Tennessee who already made one acquisition and wants to make more.

Is it possible to buy a significant stake?
There are shares offered in the open market. I'm surprised that micro cap investors aren't smarter about finding ways to buy stakes in tiny companies, the way Buffett used to do. In most states, companies are required to send a shareholder list to a shareholder. You could look for someone who owns the same quantity of shares you are looking to buy and make them an offer. I've never been offended by someone wanting to buy something I own.

In an ideal scenario what would you like to do at the bank?
At a minimum, we think that shares should be repurchased to close the gap between the share price and intrinsic value. This would reduce surplus capital, boost ROE, and reduce the interest rate risk if it was funded by selling some of the long duration treasury/muni paper. We also think that the significant shareholders who aren't insiders should have board representation.

Are you like most Wall Street activists who want to strip companies of their assets and leave the carcass to flail in the wind? (Security Federal Bank plays a vital role in their local community, is this something you'd keep?)
That criticism makes more sense with a non-financial company. With a bank that has surplus capital and too much lending competition, it's just so obvious that capital should be returned. Especially when shares are trading at a discount.

Can you walk us through why share buybacks are better than dividends or lending?
I actually found a compilation of all of the Buffett annual report comments on share repurchases and sent it to the President of the bank. It is so obvious that's what you need to do, provided that shares are below intrinsic value and that you have surplus capital, i.e. no investment opportunities that are superior to that. If you are a banker and you've sized up your lending market as being too competitive - which I perfectly respect - you are in the situation where you do not have a better use for the capital.

Is there a limit to what the bank can buy back?
Well, there's obviously a limit in terms of remaining well-capitalized and maybe another threshold of what the regulators are comfortable with. And obviously you want to stay within those limits. We are just talking about low hanging fruit here. See how much stock you can buy back at a huge discount using capital that's currently supporting fixed income instruments at one or two percent yields.

Have you talked to management about your ideas? What did they say?
As I mentioned, we sent a letter jointly with two other large outside shareholders about the repurchase idea. They sent a letter thanking us, saying that they are "in the process of updating the Company's strategic plan" and would be "discussing these topics and others with our financial advisors." Polite, but vague and non-committal.

What's managements plan for the bank?
That is not something they have wanted to share with us. It would be great to have a conversation with them where we compare the share repurchase plan with whatever plan that they have in mind and see which one results in higher IRR to shareholders, especially across a range of economic and interest rate scenarios. I think it would be tough to beat share repurchases at a discount.


Interested in learning more about banks? Buy my book The Bank Investor's Handbook (Kindle and paperback available)


Oddball Stocks Newsletter Investment Writeup


This writeup is from the July 2014 issue of the Oddball Stocks Newsletter, it's unaltered from the original publishing.



Disclosure: Long SFBK

Opt-Sciences - Going dark an excuse to operate in the dark

If you hang around small caps long enough you'll eventually hear the complaint from companies that "it costs too much to be public."  Sometimes this statement is true.  For very small and unprofitable companies being public is costly and a financial burden.  But these are rare cases, usually the cost of being public is an excuse management likes to tout to justify deregistering their securities from the SEC and "going dark" allowing them to operate in obcurity..

A company I've owned and followed for years, Opt-Sciences (OPST) filed their Form 15 on November 4th.  The Form 15 is a document that notifies the SEC that a company intends to terminate their security registration.  A company can do this if they have less than 300 shareholders of record. A shareholder of record is a shareholder who has possession of a physical stock certificate.  If you own shares of a company in a brokerage account your name will never appear on the company's shareholder register.  Rather the aggregated owner, Cede & Co, will appear on the shareholder register.  Small companies like to go dark through this loophole.  They might have thousands of shareholders with brokerage holdings, but these brokerage holdings only count as one registered owner.  Most small companies have less than 300 shareholders with physical certificates.

Small companies will readily pay dividends and mail reports to shareholders who own shares in street name but when it comes time to determine if a company has enough shareholders to remain public or not companies will claim that street holders are not real shareholders.  I know this is patently false as I've talked to CFO's of companies I own in street name, and they can see the number of shares I own and the name associated with my street holdings.

Opt-Sciences is a familiar name for small cap value investors.  The company manufacturers anti-glare coating for aircraft instrument displays.  The company has traded below book value since the financial crisis.  The last time they traded for more than book for an extended period of time was in the mid to late 1990s.  They are profitable and their balance sheet is loaded with cash and marketable securities.  If one backs out their excess cash and securities the company has some eye-popping returns on equity and an extremely low P/E.

The company has a book value of $20.54 and earned $1.40 for the first nine months of 2015.  Management expects the fourth quarter to generate about $.30 in earnings, for $1.70 in earnings for the full year.  If you back out 75% of their cash and securities, which is $11.93 per share the company trades for 4.4x earnings.  Ex-cash the company earns above 20% on their equity, although this could be misleading depending on how old their facilities are.  It's possible they've depreciated all of their plant resulting in an artificially high ROE.

With the market at elevated levels it isn't often an investor finds a company at 4.4x earnings and trading for less than book value.

The reason that the stock is cheap is also the reason that going dark is a bad idea for the company.  Opt-Sciences is cheap because management controls 66% of the company through a trust and another 6% directly for a 72% insider ownership stake.  The Chairman is the head of the trust, while his son-in-law is the CEO.  The beneficiaries of the trust are the CEO's wife and her brother, who is also on the board.  The board consists of three members, the Chairman (trustee), CEO and his brother-in-law (trust beneficiary). The proxy claims the CEO has no control over the shares held in the trust, but these three family members appear to be on good terms, and it's laughable to say that the CEO's comments about the company wouldn't influence his wife's decisions or that the family wouldn't talk about the company at family gatherings.

Shareholders seem to have lost hope that value will ever be realized at the company and have been unwilling to trade shares for more than book.  I don't blame any shareholders for giving up hope, there isn't much reason to hope with Opt-Sciences.  While the company is generating good returns management is keeping the rewards to themselves.  They don't buyback shares, and don't pay a dividend.

The company's Form 15 filing was terse.  It contained no information as to why the company was going dark and didn't provide any details for the owners of the other 28% of the company who aren't insiders.  The lack of communication speaks volumes as to how management thinks of the company.  They act as if this is a small private company with a few nuisance shareholders hanging on.

As of January 2015 the company had 316 registered shareholders, 16 more than is required to go dark.  Since then the company hasn't repurchased any shares, or announced any reverse splits to reduce their shareholder count under 300.  It's possible the company is going to go dark illegally with more than 300 shareholders and hope the SEC just doesn't care.

I hope that Opt-Sciences will continue to publish financial reports for shareholders, but I'm skeptical.  I've seen this pattern in the past where companies with large cash holdings go dark.  Going dark can be a precursor to management sticking their hands in the cookie jar and looting the cash pile.  When a company files with the SEC salaries and compensation and insider trades must be disclosed.  In the world of dark stocks companies fly fast and loose without rules.  Allegations of insider trading are rampant as well as managements with less than 100% ownership interest stealing 100% of the company's economic interest for themselves through high salaries and undisclosed perks.

It's possible that Opt-Sciences will be a good mannered dark company, but it's just as likely they'll fall off the face of the earth and shareholders will wonder what happened to their investment as management pillages the plunder.

The company is cheap but I'd wait to see how the going dark transaction plays out.  Will the company continue to provide updates to shareholders?  Or will shareholders be forced into suing the company for an annual report that they're legally entitled to have?  A huge red flag is that they're proceeding to go dark with what appears to be more than 300 shareholders without any communication or plan to reduce that number.  It could be a sign that the company believes they can do what they want.

My messages is "buyer beware" to investors interested in this company.  It appears cheap at first glance, but the lack of meaningful communication with investors as well as the blank going dark filing leave me leery.  This has all the markings of a company about to enter the value graveyard.

Disclosure: No position

Microcap Conference speakers and company profiles

In a few weeks I'll be hosting the Microcap Conference at the Marriott in Philadelphia on November 4th and 5th.

I wanted to post the speaker list as well as profiles of the companies that will be attending.  If you haven't secured a spot yet please sign up now.  We are almost out of room.  The response has been so strong that Fred Rockwell, the other organizer of this had to work with the hotel to upgrade our space to accommodate everyone.

Sign up now

More information: http://www.microcapconf.com

Speaker List


Investing In Highly Leveraged Companies 

Gene Neavin, Portfolio Manager - Federated Investors 

Eric Green, Director of Research - Penn Capital

Finding Investment Opportunities in Canada 

Paul Andreola, Director of research - SmallCap Discoveries 

Brandon Mackie, Analyst - SmallCap Discoveries 

Philippe Belanger, Co-Founder - Espace MicroCaps

Social Data’s Influence on Financial Markets 

Chris Camillio, Private Investor with one of the best audited track records in the past decade

Starting an Activist Campaign 

Damien Park, President - Hedge Fund Solutions, Chairman of the Board - iPass

Financial Blogger Panel on Investing Strategy 
David Waters, Founder OTC Adventures and Alluvial Capital 

Nate Tobik, Founder Oddball Stocks and CompleteBankData.com 

Jennifer Galperin, Partner - Bigger Capital 

Chris DeMuth Jr, Founder and Portfolio Manager - Rangeley Capital 

Andrew Walker, Portfolio Manager - Rangeley Capital 

Maj Souiedan, Co-Founder - GeoInvesting Micro-Cap Research

Company Profiles

Benzinga Interview: Small banks plus a niche small cap with incredible ROE's

I wanted to share my most recent interview on the Benzinga PreMarket Pre show.  I discussed a few small bank ideas as well as Kopp Glass, a classic oddball stock.


Kopp Glass is an example of a perfect oddball stock.  It's a very small company that operates in a niche, yet earns extremely high returns on capital.  The problem is they can't scale their market.  So while they have a nice moat, and earn great returns they don't have much growth potential.  The company has paid out most of their earnings as dividends, and shareholders seem content to earn a close to 10% dividend as well as some appreciation.

Kopp Glass first appeared in the Oddball Stocks Newsletter in July 2014.  The write-up is displayed below.  If you're looking for more write-ups like this I'd encourage you to subscribe to the Oddball Stocks newsletter.

Disclosure: Long Kopp

Titanium Holdings an out of fashion net-net

Investing is similar to fashion in many ways.  There are trends that are short lived, while other seemingly short lived trends become common place.  Some fashion trends will never be fashionable again no matter their usefulness.  Something like the Dogs of the Dow could be closely approximated to hip/fanny-packs.  In theory they're a great idea, but you don't want to be caught with one, or with that strategy.

Other fashion trends appear and have staying power.  The ETF boom is like casual Fridays.  At first it was alright to leave the coat at home, then a polo and pants were acceptable.  Now we've digressed to the point where people wear hoodies to work and showing up in dress pants or a dress shirt makes co-workers wonder if you're interviewing somewhere else.  ETF's were similar.  A few simple trackers for important indexes as a way to plug a hole in a portfolio.  Like casual Fridays the ETF world has descended into craziness.  No one is buying QQQQ anymore, now it's a reverse-inverse levered grain fund portfolio for farms with a ticker IOWA.

Investing fashion is driven by what the largest funds who are on TV and file 13-F reports are doing.  When the market is in a trough anyone and everyone can buy assets cheaply and buying cheap assets is in vogue.  It's also more of a sure thing.  In the midst of 2008 investors were uncertain about how durable company moats and brands would be in the "new normal".  But most investors were relatively certain that if you buy $1 for $.75 and throw in a profitable funeral parlor, a few F-150s written down to zero and other assorted assets that it's likely they'd get their money back, and potentially a gain as well.

As the market climbs out of a bottom value investing becomes more challenging and more complex.  The great deals of the bottom no longer exist that funds can scale into.  This means the funds and investors guiding the value investing fashion cycle move on from traditional asset bargains to companies with moats, companies that can compound at high rates in normal business environments, and companies that generate relatively high cash flow yields.

Investors follow the guiding lights that are in magazines, on TV, and in the blogs.  There are few original thinkers or original actors in the investing world.  The great news is that one doesn't need to be original to be successful in investing.

Now that the depths of 2008/2009 are far in the rear view mirror the idea that anyone can buy a traditional Graham value stock is almost laughable.  There are few stocks trading below book value, and few net-nets.  Investors are a fickle bunch.  If you asked investors right now most would say book value is meaningless and should be disregarded.  In a crisis book value and net current asset value are suddenly meaningful concepts only to be forgotten in the wake of gains.

If an investor is looking for a traditional value stock, not just a company selling for a lower P/FCF multiple compared to peers one needs to move down the size ladder significantly.  There are no net-nets with two billion dollar market caps.  As far as I know there aren't any net-nets with market caps above $100m in the US.  Net-nets are in markets that only the brave enter such as Japan, or Vietnam, or in extremely small stocks.

Titanium Holdings (TTHG) is an example of an extreme undervaluation in a bull market.  This is a name I've followed for years.  I've owned it off and on as it fluctuated between dramatically undervalued to just undervalued.  I don't own it anymore, but the stock is still attractive at current prices.

One thing that's nice about small companies is they're straightforward.  Titanium Holdings is simple, they own some cleaning supply stores in Texas as well as marketable securities and cash.

The value proposition is clear, they have $1.7m in cash, $348k in securities and $589k in liabilities.  Their net cash position is $1.486m.  The company has 9.228m shares outstanding and a last trade of $.20 meaning their market cap is $1.86m.  If you back out their cash and securities the market is valuing their cleaning supply stories that have a $2.2m book value for $374k.  This is a business that made $72k in the past six months.  If their earnings run rate continues the market is valuing them at slightly over 2x earnings.

Maybe a cleaning supply store in Texas is only worth $300k, I don't know, but it seems quite low.  What I do know is this.  With infrequent trading shares were trading with a quote 50% lower recently.  A buyer at those prices would have been buying this business for less than net cash, and would have only needed to wait a few weeks to double their money.

Titanium Holdings isn't a great business.  The auditors comment on the financials saying the company only discloses the absolute minimum necessary, and if they disclosed more investors might have a different impression.  Maybe there is more than meets the eye here?  We know the company has a majority shareholder who has used company resources to make bad investments in the past.  But the issue isn't the quality of the company, it's the company's valuation.

A savvy investor who keeps their eye on situations like Titanium Holdings can do well.  A question is naturally "How do you even buy shares?"  Here's a small secret, when a buyer of size wants to get out the price craters.  This serves two purposes for an investor, they get to purchase as much as they want at an attractive price.  The lesson is never dump your stake indiscriminately onto the market.

At current prices Titanium is still cheap.  In a sale they'd probably be worth 50% more, although I'd caution and say that a sale is extremely unlikely to happen.  But the company doesn't need to sell for value to be realized.  Value will be realized when stocks like Titanium come into fashion again.  Wearing neon was a bad decision for years, but then suddenly it was back like the 80s never stopped.

Vulcan International: The ultimate oddball stock

Warning: This company is extremely illiquid and management treats investors somewhere between something to be ignored and something to engage with in battle.  Investors are required to sign a NDA in order to receive financial statements.  This idea is only for sophisticated and experienced dark company investors.  I have not signed the NDA and I have not seen the financial statements for this company.  This write-up is based on publicly available details and certain other sources.  If you contact the company they will require you to sign an NDA.  

Some of the allure to investing in dark companies lies in the hunt for information.  Perhaps it’s our legacy hunter-gatherer instincts rearing their head.  Not many investors, if any, have an informational advantage with large cap companies such as Apple, GE, Kraft or Microsoft.  But with a little work any investor can have an almost unfair informational advantage for many dark companies.  

Investors are sometimes like water in that they prefer the path of least resistance.  There is significant resistance related to procuring Vulcan International’s financial statements and other related information, but stepping over that hurdle can be worth it, especially with what seems to be afoot at the moment.

Vulcan is a Delaware incorporated company with a $59.6m market cap.  The company owns a rubber and foam manufacturing company located in Tennessee, a sizable securities portfolio and various real estate holdings including timberland.  The company appears to believe that rubber and foam manufacturing is their main line of business.  If one visits the Vulcan International webpage they are presented with a nice picture of the company’s facilities along with sub-pages detailing specific manufacturing capabilities at the Tennessee location.

Vulcan reports abbreviated earnings on the OTCMarkets platform for investors.  If a potential investor were to examine Vulcan’s website as well as read their press releases they’d likely have the impression that the company was an overvalued manufacturer with some real estate interests.  This is where public perception, created and nurtured by the company’s management over a long period of time, is divorced from the truth.

Now for a brief digression.  There are three stages in a magic trick.  The first is called the “pledge”.  This is the setup of the trick where the audience is shown something ordinary.  Think of Vulcan’s so-called reporting as belonging here.  The second step is called the “turn” where the magician makes the ordinary act extraordinary.  Management’s extreme efforts to block and obfuscate investors fall in this category.  Finally, there is the “prestige” where the effect of the illusion is shown.  Read on magic lovers.

Vulcan International is a holding company that primarily consists of bank equity holdings, including US Bancorp and PNC shares, as well as real estate interests in Ohio and Minnesota.  Their small money-losing rubber and foam manufacturing firm in Tennessee which appears to the general public as the primary asset is in reality essentially an afterthought.

The company’s ownership is dominated by the Gettler family.  Benjamin Gettler, the former CEO passed away in 2013.  Gettler was well respected in the community.  A Google search reveals numerous articles about his community contributions.  At one point Gettler was Chairman of the Board of the University of Cincinnati.  Gettler's stepson is the company President, and two of Gettler's other sons are on the Board along with his widow.

The company was an SEC reporting entity until they filed a Form 15 in September of 2005.  At the time of their last quarterly filing in 2005 they had $58m worth of shareholder equity and assets of $85.74m consisting primarily of $72.6m in marketable securities, some cash and their manufacturing assets.  On the other side of the ledger, the company had a $3.2m note payable as well as some deferred tax liabilities.  It’s worth noting they are currently trading for only slightly more than their book value of 10 years ago.

Vulcan International at one point ran a large manufacturing operation that made bowling pins along with foam plants scattered throughout the US.  Foreign competitors invaded Vulcan’s market and Vulcan’s formerly profitable operations began to lose money.  The company sold off the majority of their factories except for one located in Clarksville, TN.  Past SEC filings show positive income from continuing operations, but these numbers include securities gains as income.  It’s my understanding that the Clarksville factory hasn’t operated profitably in decades if not longer, yet it continues on like some kind of undead creature.

After winding down their foam operations the company found themselves in a strange position.  They had excess capital, but no real reason to exist.  Management began putting their excess capital to work buying a portion of the Cincinnati Club Building in downtown Cincinnati, a second office in Cincinnati, as well as public bank stocks.  It’s worth mentioning at this point that my brother-in-law and his wife held their wedding reception at the Cincinnati Club Building, the facility is beautiful and my guess is the balance sheet value for this asset doesn’t reflect its true value.

It was only a matter of time before the growing equity portfolio outpaced the shrinking manufacturing operations.  At some point it became necessary to ask whether Vulcan should be classified as an Investment Company under applicable SEC rules and regulations.

Fortunately, someone did ask.  That person was Lloyd Miller, Jr., the infamous activist small cap value investor.  Miller owned a significant stake in the company in the 1990s and was on the Board of Directors.  Miller and the company had a falling out and Miller signed a release related to his right to vote his then current shares.  Miller then sold his stake over the next few years. Subsequently, Miller re-established a new position in Vulcan and took part in a rights offering.

Miller’s various legal filings have formed the basis of this article and they are worth a read.  Miller filed one of the most comprehensive books and record requests (Section 220 demand) I have ever seen.  Asking for access to everything from financial statements to board minutes, records related to sale or issuance of stock, as well as all material transactions with any subsidiaries.  

Vulcan countersued Miller alleging that he broke his release agreement by acquiring more shares and attempting to exercise his shareholder rights; a view the court disagrees with.  In the lawsuit Miller claims that Vulcan is an Investment Company under the Investment Act of 1940 and executives have engaged in insider trading.  So far the SEC hasn’t acted in regulating Vulcan as an Investment Company.

All of this is interesting and most likely entertaining, but you’re probably thinking, “Why is this company even being written about?”

While there are some egregious corporate governance issues, the company is an attractive investment.  An investor buying today is effectively purchasing PNC and US Bancorp stock at a large discount to their market prices.  

I’ve noticed a strange and familiar pattern with investors who do obtain the Vulcan financials.  They immediately become as guarded with the information as the company is so they can purchase as large of a stake as possible.  I’ve also heard more than one Vulcan investor mention that this is one of the more attractive opportunities they know of.  This is considerable given the types of investors who invest in Vulcan know the dark market very well. 

Before writing this article I asked what a few investors thought the shares were worth.  They all agreed at least double the current price if not more.

The problem is there are other dark companies trading for 50% of their intrinsic value with bad management.  Companies like this aren’t value traps they are value graveyards.  Places where investor dollars go to sit in the ground and disintegrate.  What’s different about Vulcan?  It seems investors have finally had enough of the Gettler black hole and there is a concerted effort to get the company to open up.

Management has been intentionally vague about the operating results at their Clarksville facility.  This is presumably because they have close personal bonds with employees there, as well as the notion that owning a money-losing factory will somehow help them avoid the fate of being classified as an Investment Company.  The reason Vulcan wants to avoid this classification is because if they were to be classified as an Investment Company they would suddenly be required to be more transparent as well as undergo regulation.  Note that it is extremely difficult if not impossible for a long-standing operational company to comply with the requirements of being an Investment Company.

Management at many dark companies operate with their head buried deep in the sand blissfully unaware of anything outside of their small kingdom.  Vulcan is the opposite.  A Gettler on the Board acts as their outside counsel and is extremely savvy regarding shareholder rights and securities law.  I have been told they play the clueless managers at company meetings, but they are far from it.  This is also why the company vigorously countersued Miller in response to his record requests and various lawsuits.

If shareholders have their way Vulcan International won’t become a value graveyard.  This is because a number of shareholders besides Miller have decided they’ve had enough with management and have decided to push for changes.  The Gettler family controls the company, but without a shareholder register it’s unknown as to their ownership percentage, or how firmly they really are entrenched.  Sometimes management at companies such as Vulcan will act as if they own a majority stake when they don’t actually own a true majority holding.

Management has responded with surprise that there are investors interested in the company.  The CEO has mentioned that changes are underway towards transparency, although nothing has occurred to date and its ultimately it’s unknown what might happen.

Fortunately for shareholders, the Gettlers don’t need to be removed and a shareholder uprising doesn’t need to take place for value to be realized.  Improved transparency is likely all that’s needed before Vulcan shares start to appreciate towards fair value.  Sunlight often is the best disinfectant.
There is a very good reason that Vulcan is selling for half or less of its intrinsic value.  They have a management team that has ignored shareholders and actively worked to block information from being released.  Yet, value has a way of being realized, especially if the discrepancy between market price and value becomes too large.  The gap between price and value has become large enough that a number of shareholders are interested in poking and prodding management until the gap closes.  For investors who have a taste for the darkest oddball companies the market has to offer Vulcan International might be worth a look.  If anyone is looking to purchase a sizable stake and help open this company up, please contact me and I can put you in contact with other Vulcan investors.

So how much cloak and dagger can an investor stomach before running for the hills? I talk about how I evaluate management more in my free investing mini-course. 

Recent interviews and podcasts

While I haven't been posting as often as I'd like (and I'm hoping to correct that!) I have been active in co-hosting a microcap investing podcast as well as giving interviews.  I wanted to link to all of these items in case you missed any of them.

Benzinga PreMarket

Here is my most recent interview on the Benzinga PreMarket show:

As always I spoke about banks and other related issues.  So far I've been correct in my prediction that the Fed wouldn't raise rates in 2015, maybe we'll be thrown a bone in December.

Interview with Tim Melvin

I also had a lengthy interview with Tim Melvin of the Banking on Profits newsletter.  Listen here

Microcap Investor Podcast links

As always I continue to co-host the Microcap Investor Podcast with Fred Rockwell.  You can subscribe on iTunes.

Here are a few recent episodes:
  • Talk with Brandon Mackie about Canadian stocks: listen
  • Interview with Wilson Wang of Twin Peaks Capital: listen
  • Talk with Maj Souiedan of GeoInvesting: listen
Microcap Conference

If you missed it I'm working with Fred Rockwell to organize The Microcap Conference in Philly on November 4th and 5th.  We have an exciting list of companies attending as well as a full slate of investor attendees.  There are still a few attendee spots open.

You can find out more information and register to attend on the website below.  The list of companies as well as a preliminary schedule will be posted soon.